How to Show Leadership…

“In the summer of 1918, a group of soldiers of the 301st Tank Brigade, which I commanded, was having 37 mm. gun practice which I was observing. One defective round exploded in the muzzle, wounding two or three men. The next round exploded in the breech, blowing the head off the gunner. The men were… Read More

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Separating Confidence & Competence

“His example could have been a case study for the book by Tomas Chamorro-Premuzic – “Why Do So Many Incompetent Men Become Leaders? (and how to fix it)”. As an organisational psychologist, he points out that people tend to assume that confident individuals are competent, when there is no actual relationship between the two qualities.… Read More

Do Your Early Performance Wins Breed Overconfidence?

Being too sure of oneself can be a problem, and research reveals a pattern in how it develops. In an experiment that involved making medical diagnoses, subjects with no experience started out under-confident, but after just a few early successes they perceived themselves as more expert than they actually were – a phenomenon the researchers… Read More

Linking Confidence, Mastery & Profession..

“Officers can never act with confidence until they are masters of their profession.” Major General Henry Knox (25 July 1750 to 25 October 1806) Continental Army, and later US Army, officer who also served as the first US Secretary of War from 1789 to 1794.

The Assessment Process & The Illusion of Validity

When assessing candidates for their potential to be officers in the Israeli Defence Forces, Daniel Kahneman (2011) coined the phrase ‘the illusion of validity’, which he states was his first cognitive fallacy. Daniel states: “I coined the term “illusion of validity” because the confidence we had in judgments about individual soldiers was not affected by… Read More