Being too sure of oneself can be a problem, and research reveals a pattern in how it develops. In an experiment that involved making medical diagnoses, subjects with no experience started out under-confident, but after just a few early successes they perceived themselves as more expert than they actually were – a phenomenon the researchers… Read More
“Knowledge increases confidence, together they increase decisiveness.” Unknown
“Officers can never act with confidence until they are masters of their profession.” Major General Henry Knox (25 July 1750 to 25 October 1806) Continental Army, and later US Army, officer who also served as the first US Secretary of War from 1789 to 1794.
For those of you who may not yet be able to (or think you can’t) see the physical manifestation of your hard work during exercise.
When assessing candidates for their potential to be officers in the Israeli Defence Forces, Daniel Kahneman (2011) coined the phrase ‘the illusion of validity’, which he states was his first cognitive fallacy. Daniel states: “I coined the term “illusion of validity” because the confidence we had in judgments about individual soldiers was not affected by… Read More
“Perhaps he had exceeded the measure of confidence that was innate to his nature. That was what ultimately separated the lesser officers from the best, Cato had come to learn. Confidence was the source of competence. Arrogance might also help a man, but it was a brittle quality and founded on delusion rather than good… Read More
“Danger gleans like sunshine to a brave man’s eyes.” (Euripides, Greek Playwright, 480 BC – 406 BC)