Fools & Experience…

“Fools say they learn by experience. I prefer to profit by others’ experience.” Bismark (1815-1898) Otto Eduard Leopold, Prince of Bismarck, Duke of Lauenburg known as Otto von Bismarck was a conservative Prussian statesman who dominated German and European affairs from the 1860s until 1890 and was the first Chancellor of the German Empire between… Read More

Linking Violence, Temperature and Crop Yields

“Research finds a strong historical link between poor crop yields and violence.” (The Economist, 2017, p.57). Last year over 102,000 people died in nearly 50 armed conflicts across the world, according to the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), a think-tank. Much of this violence is caused by tensions between ethnic groups – two-thirds of civil wars have… Read More

Repetition: History and Political/Military Autism

Article Title Political/Military Autism. Extract “’History teaches us that we learn nothing from history.’ Hegel Foreign policy is often a little like ice fishing. If you pick the wrong companions, the wrong spot, or the wrong time of year, the results can be catastrophic. When the ice gives way, fish in the creel become irrelevant. Unlike… Read More

Fighting Without Fighting…

“Weapons are ominous tools to be used only when there is no alternative.” Sun Tzu, The Art of War “In ”Behind China’s Threats” (front page, March 7), you note that China’s military options for attacking Taiwan ”remain limited and impractical.’ There are other means to victory, as taught by the ancient Chinese military strategist Sun… Read More

Doing Things Better: Last War versus Next War

“Organizations created to fight the last war better are not going to win the next.” Lieutenant General James Maurice Gavin (1907-1990), …”a top Army administrator, a diplomat and a leading management consultant…” (Fowler, 1990) Sometimes presented as “Generals always fight the last war.” Of course, this does not take account of the fact that sometimes… Read More