An Overview of the McNamara Fallacy

Introduction The McNamara fallacy (also known as the quantitative fallacy), named for Robert McNamara, the US Secretary of Defence from 1961 to 1968, involves making a decision based solely on quantitative observations (or metrics) and ignoring all others. The reason given is often that these other observations cannot be proven. “But when the McNamara discipline… Read More

An Overview of the Civilian Casualty Ratio

Introduction In armed conflicts, the civilian casualty ratio (also civilian death ratio, civilian-combatant ratio, etc.) is the ratio of civilian casualties to combatant casualties, or total casualties. The measurement can apply either to casualties inflicted by or to a particular belligerent, casualties inflicted in one aspect or arena of a conflict or to casualties in… Read More

Type 23 Frigate Food & Fuels Stats

Introduction “HMS Northumberland’s sailors spent Christmas away from home as they continued their vital mission protecting UK waters and the nation’s nuclear deterrent. The Type 23 frigate was last at her home port of Devonport in late September and since then has been part of the UK Carrier Strike group during landmark operations in the… Read More

Reasons for Candidates Disengaging from the Army Recruitment Pipeline (2013-2019)

The first table outlines the general reasons for candidates disengaging from the British Army’s recruitment pipeline, whilst the second table outlines the top 5 reasons. Applications 13/14 % 14/15 % 15/16 % 16/17 % 17/18 % 18/19 % Withdrawn 76,640 66.2 76,300 60.3 72,380 57.4 116,210 60.7 71,190 60.4 54,680 58.9 Rejected 24,220 21.2 34,590… Read More

How Many Women Have Expressed Interest in the Royal Marines (2018-2019)?

Table 1 outlines the number of female expressions of interest (EOI) to the Royal Marines by calendar year for 2018 and 2019. Type/Year 2018 2019 Royal Marines Officer 150 120 Royal Marines Other Rank 710 1070 Royal Marines Band Service 290 180 Total 1150 1380 Table 2 outlines the number of females by selection and… Read More

UK RAF Police Structure

The table below provides a breakdown of the Royal Air Force Police (RAFP) structure including number of posts and locations where units are based in the UK. Unit Number of Posts Locations Counter Intelligence and Security Squdron 86 RAF Honington, RAF Cranwell, and RAF Halton Specialist Investigations Branch 60 RAF Cranwell, RAF Halton, and RAF… Read More