The Estimate Process for Non-Combat Decision-Making

Introduction There are many of us in the RAF who have never heard of the Estimate and others who have heard of it but have not had any tuition in its use. As a result, it is often considered something of a ‘black art’ and strictly for the use of senior personnel who are involved… Read More


Military Operations & Tactical Decision Making

Research Paper Title Tactical Decision Making: A Proposed Evaluation Criteria Model for the Infantry Battalion’s Tactical Estimate during Offensive Operations. Abstract This study seeks to determine if it is possible to construct an evaluation criteria model that improves the infantry battalion’s capability to select the best course of action during the deliberate tactical estimate. It examines US and selected… Read More

Glory & Consequence…

“Glory is a consequence.” “If you build the guts to do something, anything, then you better save enough to face the consequences.” Anonymous “Glory ought to be the consequence, not the motive of our actions.” Pliny the Younger (Gaius Plinius Caecilius Secundus, born Gaius Caecilius or Gaius Caecilius Cilo, better known as Pliny the Younger,… Read More

Movement versus Action…

“Never confuse movement with action!” Ernest Hemingway Vincent Nguyen (2013) states this is “Perhaps my favorite Hemingway quote. Learn the difference between simply feigning results and actually performing. Make sure everything you do is defined and can bring measurable success. Don’t settle for less and assume you’re making progress just because you’re moving around. Give… Read More

Why Think of One Reason When Ten Will Do!

“The simplest solution is usually the right one!” Occam’s Razor Originally, the principle stated that “Entities should not be multiplied unnecessarily.” (Hiroshi (1997). Reference Hiroshi, S. (1997) What is Occam’s Razor? Available from World Wide Web: [Accessed: 22 November, 2015].