An Overview of the McNamara Fallacy

Introduction The McNamara fallacy (also known as the quantitative fallacy), named for Robert McNamara, the US Secretary of Defence from 1961 to 1968, involves making a decision based solely on quantitative observations (or metrics) and ignoring all others. The reason given is often that these other observations cannot be proven. “But when the McNamara discipline… Read More

Reasons for Candidates Disengaging from the Army Recruitment Pipeline (2013-2019)

The first table outlines the general reasons for candidates disengaging from the British Army’s recruitment pipeline, whilst the second table outlines the top 5 reasons. Applications 13/14 % 14/15 % 15/16 % 16/17 % 17/18 % 18/19 % Withdrawn 76,640 66.2 76,300 60.3 72,380 57.4 116,210 60.7 71,190 60.4 54,680 58.9 Rejected 24,220 21.2 34,590… Read More

What was the Strength of the RAF from 1918 to 2018?

Attached is a pdf outlining the total number of personnel within the Royal Air Force (RAF) between 1918 and 2018. The total number of RAF personnel peeked in 1944 at just under 1.2 million. In 2018, the number of RAF personnel was roughly the same as in 1920. Reference FOI 2018/04338 dated 27 March 2018.

What is the Fitness Information System Software (FISS)?

The Fitness Information System Software (FISS) is actually three different systems, one for each Service. The systems record Fitness levels of all Service Personnel and was a Defence Analytics & Statistics Agency (DASA) hosted system used by the three Services. The Naval Service FISS went live during January 2010, with the first full reporting period… Read More

What are the Parachute Regiment Combined Infantryman Course (CIC) Pass Rates for 2011-2-17?

The percentage of Parachute Regiment recruits who completed the 28-week Parachute Regiment Combined Infantryman Course (CIC PARA), aka P Company, between 2011 and 2017 is outlined in Table 1 below. Table 1: CIC PARA Pass Rates Training Year 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 & Pass 30% 39% 73% 48% 65% 33% You can read… Read More

What is the Number of Applicants Accepted into British Officer Training?

Below is the number of applicants accepted into British officer training at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst (RMAS) of the British Army and the Britannia Royal Naval College (BRNC) of the Royal Navy by school type. Table 1: RMAS Entrants by School Type Training Year Independent School State School Total 2012/2013 280 320 590 2013/2014… Read More